中国物流业的发展分析

现代企业竞争的焦点聚集在被称为企业的"第三利润源泉"的物流业上,加入WTO后,我国物流业面临着国外先进物流企业的巨大竞争压力.本文在分析中国物流业目前面临的问题的基础上,结合中国的实际,提出了中国物流业健康发展应采取的一系列切实可行的措施与对策.     

新股发行主体行为和博弈分析

新股发行市场较小的市场厚度使得理论分析不仅要涉及一般的供给需求分析,还必须深入研究供给和需求的形成过程以及供求双方的相互作用。本文拟从博弈角度研究新股发行过程政府、发行公司、中介机构和投资者的行为特征和多主体博弈过程,分别从信息完全和信息不完全两个角度研究博弈过程和结果,以期对新股发行制度改革提供初步的理论分析基础。     

论旅游可持续消费

本文旨在从消费的角度研究“可持续旅游”,内容包括旅游可持续消费的背景、内涵、意义和实现 途径等。     

Modeling Disinterest and Dislike: A Bounded Bayesian Mixed Logit Model of the UK Market for GM Food

Mixed logit models represent a powerful discrete choice analytical model but require assumptions about the functional form of the parameter distributions. The use of unbounded distributions, such as the normal distribution, may be regarded as unsuitable where theory indicates that all are negatively affected by increases in an attribute, such as price. Bounded distributions such as the triangular and log-normal are unable to model the case where a section of the population is indifferent towards an attribute, while the remainder are negatively disposed toward it. Train and Sonnier’s bounded mixed logit model accommodates these features and is employed in this paper. A censored normal and Johnson’s S_b distribution are used to model preferences in the UK for food attributes, including price and GM technology. Bi-modal distributions are identified regarding GM food: some are unlikely to ever consume it, some are close to indifference and willing to consume at relatively small discounts while the remainder are fairly unresponsive to further price reductions.     

Economic reforms,efficiency and productivity in Chinese banking

This paper analyzes the impact of banking reforms on efficiency and total factor productivity (TFP) change in Chinese banking industry. Using an input distance function, we find that joint-equity banks are more efficient than wholly state-owned banks (WSOBs). Furthermore, both WSOBs and joint-equity banks are found to be operating slightly below their optimal size, suggesting potential advantages in expansion of their businesses. Overall, TFP growth was 4.4% per annum for the sample period 1993–2002. Joint-equity banks experienced much higher growth in TFP (5.5% per annum) compared to the WSOBs (1.4% per annum).      

Quantitative growth effects of subsidies in a search theoretic R&D model

Should government subsidize R&D and does it matter how these subsidies are allocated? We examine these questions in a dynamic model where R&D is described as sequential sampling from a distribution of new ideas. Successful discoveries affect future available resources and incentives for further R&D. Consequently, there may be under-investment in R&D. We study the effect of government interventions aimed at fostering growth through R&D. Calibrating the model with aggregate data from the Israeli business sector allows us to quantitatively compare two forms of support resembling those actually used to encourage R&D in the Israeli business sector: (i) an unrestricted subsidy that may be used at the recipients' discretion to finance R&D or other investments, (ii) a subsidy earmarked by the government for R&D activities only. While there is no theoretical way to determine which of the two subsidies will have a greater impact on search for new ideas and growth, we find that in the calibrated economy both subsidies have a significant but similar impact on the economy's output and TFP growth rates. Accordingly, in the case of the Israeli business sector, the incentives to conduct R&D were sufficiently strong, and no R&D-specific encouragement was needed. However, a sensitivity analysis reveals that for economies characterized by other parameter values this result may not be true. Correspondence to: B. Bental     

Individual bidder behavior in first-price private value auctions

Individual bid functions display sensitivity to the strategic considerations inherent in first-price auctions. However, several formal models, including heterogeneous Nash equilibrium bidding models with constant relative risk aversion, perform quite poorly.     

虚拟水及其在缓解区域水资源短缺中的应用研究

虚拟水是指生产商品和服务所需要的水资源数量。虚拟水战略是指贫水国家或地区通过贸易的方式从富水国家或地区购买水密集型农产品(粮食)来获得本地区水和粮食的安全。本文在综述前人对虚拟水研究的基础上,计算了2002年甘肃省及不同地区主要农产品虚拟水含量,并对甘肃省加强虚拟水贸易的战略进行了探讨。     

资源型城市转型与循环经济发展--以黑龙江省伊春市为例

随着人类对资源的不断利用,资源型城市大都面临着转型问题,如何实现资源型城市的可持续发展,既是一个需要研究的理论问题,更是一个亟待解决的实际问题。通过伊春市经济资本和技术资本发展困境分析,采用生态足迹方法计算了资源型城市伊春市2003年的生态足迹,得出此地区尚未出现生态赤字,但对它的转型却迫在眉睫,据此提出了伊春市应向循环经济型生态城市转型的思路及实现路径和方法。